12/13/2022

Dec 13, 2022


12/13/2022
Corn and soybeans traded almost exclusively higher on Tuesday.  After trading steady at 2 cents higher, money quickly flowed into the long side of corn, where the March contract traded 660'0 before fading back to just below unchanged.  Soybeans re-gained most of Monday's losses, even trading near 3-month highs before settling 8-19 cents higher on the day.  The USDA announced a soybean sale this morning of 140,000 tonnes for delivery to unknown during the 2023/2024 marketing year.  It is estimated that China needs to purchase an additional 1.5 million tonnes of soybeans for shipment in January to bridge the gap between U.S. supply and a fresh Brazil soybean crop.  After figuring in the data in yesterday's weekly export inspections report, corn shipment pace is 171 million bushels short of the USDA target versus 162 million the previous week.  Soybeans mostly maintained their pace, now 36 million bushels shy of the pace needed versus 34 million bushels the week prior.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.