12/13/2022

Dec 13, 2022


12/13/2022
Corn and soybeans traded almost exclusively higher on Tuesday.  After trading steady at 2 cents higher, money quickly flowed into the long side of corn, where the March contract traded 660'0 before fading back to just below unchanged.  Soybeans re-gained most of Monday's losses, even trading near 3-month highs before settling 8-19 cents higher on the day.  The USDA announced a soybean sale this morning of 140,000 tonnes for delivery to unknown during the 2023/2024 marketing year.  It is estimated that China needs to purchase an additional 1.5 million tonnes of soybeans for shipment in January to bridge the gap between U.S. supply and a fresh Brazil soybean crop.  After figuring in the data in yesterday's weekly export inspections report, corn shipment pace is 171 million bushels short of the USDA target versus 162 million the previous week.  Soybeans mostly maintained their pace, now 36 million bushels shy of the pace needed versus 34 million bushels the week prior.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.