12/13/2022

Dec 13, 2022


12/13/2022
Corn and soybeans traded almost exclusively higher on Tuesday.  After trading steady at 2 cents higher, money quickly flowed into the long side of corn, where the March contract traded 660'0 before fading back to just below unchanged.  Soybeans re-gained most of Monday's losses, even trading near 3-month highs before settling 8-19 cents higher on the day.  The USDA announced a soybean sale this morning of 140,000 tonnes for delivery to unknown during the 2023/2024 marketing year.  It is estimated that China needs to purchase an additional 1.5 million tonnes of soybeans for shipment in January to bridge the gap between U.S. supply and a fresh Brazil soybean crop.  After figuring in the data in yesterday's weekly export inspections report, corn shipment pace is 171 million bushels short of the USDA target versus 162 million the previous week.  Soybeans mostly maintained their pace, now 36 million bushels shy of the pace needed versus 34 million bushels the week prior.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.