12/1/2020

Dec 01, 2020


12/1/2020
News is very quiet and the markets continued fade into the close today.  March corn broke the 4.23 level today, but hung onto the next support level of 4.20.  Ultimately there is a chance we could go down and test the 4.00 level, but that would take a widespread rain in South America.  Beans look destined now to test that 11.38 January level I mentioned yesterday.  Bean exports have slowed and the exporters seem over bought currently as no more new business has showed up for a while.  The market hasn’t had more than a few day setbacks in months. Is it time we do now?  The last set back we had was during month end in October and continued into the first couple days on November, which was about a 42 cent pull back, and then we blew up into new high levels.  Are we setting up for the same thing?  We are about to find out for sure, but my gut says 11.38 is in play, which is a healthy correction in my opinion.  South American weather will likely decide our fate either way.
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.