11/9/2020

Nov 09, 2020


11/9/2020
News broke this morning that Pfizer and their German partner Biontech announced they have a Covid-19 vaccine that is 90% effective and could be available by December. They intend to ask the Food & Drug Administration to allow early release of the vaccine. 90% effective is pretty impressive and is a game changer.  Obviously, it will take some to roll something like that out in the type quantity needed, but it’s a good start and the markets liked the news.  The Dow is currently up about 1,000 points and traded as high as 1,700 higher to exactly the 30,000 on the mini Dow futures.  Beans were the leader today as there are still weather concerns in South America as well.  The USDA announced the sale of 123,000 MT’s soybeans to unknown this morning.  Tomorrow is the release of the USDA report, which could shape up to be a wild one, so buckle in.
 

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.