11/6/2023

Nov 06, 2023


Grains opened higher Sunday night with some solid follow-through buying in soybeans as the main highlight of today’s trade. Soybeans set another round of fresh two-month highs, improving their foot-hold well into the teens. Soybeans were the market leader on the day and the only thing supporting corn and wheat to modestly higher finishes. The USDA confirmed two export sales for delivery during the 2023/24 marketing year this morning: 126,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to China and 289,575 tonnes of corn to Mexico. Weekly export inspections were on the high-end of expectations with 535k tonnes of corn and 2.085 mln tonnes of soybeans shipped last week. The USDA also revised the prior week's soybean inspections upward. Current shipment paces show corn short of the seasonal pace by 24 million bushels and soybeans exceeding their needed performance by 55 million bushels.

Trade defended the September, and 2-year, low in corn at 467’6 last week and we saw some follow-through support today. We expect some life in the corn market between Thanksgiving and Christmas.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.