11/6/2023

Nov 06, 2023


Grains opened higher Sunday night with some solid follow-through buying in soybeans as the main highlight of today’s trade. Soybeans set another round of fresh two-month highs, improving their foot-hold well into the teens. Soybeans were the market leader on the day and the only thing supporting corn and wheat to modestly higher finishes. The USDA confirmed two export sales for delivery during the 2023/24 marketing year this morning: 126,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to China and 289,575 tonnes of corn to Mexico. Weekly export inspections were on the high-end of expectations with 535k tonnes of corn and 2.085 mln tonnes of soybeans shipped last week. The USDA also revised the prior week's soybean inspections upward. Current shipment paces show corn short of the seasonal pace by 24 million bushels and soybeans exceeding their needed performance by 55 million bushels.

Trade defended the September, and 2-year, low in corn at 467’6 last week and we saw some follow-through support today. We expect some life in the corn market between Thanksgiving and Christmas.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.