11/30/2020

Nov 30, 2020


11/30/2020
Month end is upon us and fund liquidation and profit taking was in full swing.  A wetter South American forecast is also to blame as it looks like this correction could last a bit longer on that note.  We are due for a correction as we just can't seem to push into new highs on both corn and beans.  The USDA announced the sale of a total of 344,000 MT’s of corn to “unknown” this morning.  Most are assuming that is China, but you never know.  March corn is about 3 cents off the recent lows, which should be support.  Jan beans are about 30 cents from nearby support.  I wouldn't rule out trying to trade down there, but overall, I remain optimistic the markets.  December could be a tough month to get much going if South America's weather improves.  I think Jan, Feb, March will have better opportunities as we get the corn export program into full swing.  By then we will also be getting a better idea of US planting intentions as well. 
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.