11/3/2022

Nov 03, 2022


11/3/2022
Corn and soybeans both lower after a day that lacked fresh news. Corn found technical support at the 50-day moving average on multiple charts and soybeans flirted with either side of their 200-day moving average for the second consecutive session. This week’s export sales report showed corn sales still running just above 50% of last year’s pace (and under 50% of the total needed weekly to meet the USDA forecast) with 372k tonnes sold. Domestic demand for corn remains strong but export demand is stagnant/slow. Soybean sales were average for this time of year with 830k tonnes sold. The shipping situation on the river has improved following some rains that have raised the water level. Adding some pressure to the market today was Russia announcing they would abandon an area of Ukraine.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.