11/29/2022

Nov 29, 2022


11/29/2022
A quiet day overall for the markets.  We saw some higher trade through the overnight session and briefly after the morning break before we scattered into slow, two-sided trade past mid-day.  After soybeans broke higher yesterday, today's lower trade found buyers and immediate support at the 200-day moving average before flipping green and trading near the November monthly highs.  Corn ended the day mixed, fractional-1 cent away from unchanged.  After seeing 13-20 cent trading ranges, soybeans finished higher, improving 1-5 cents.  Bullish sentiment in corn has been on the downtrend.  The commitment to traders showed funds and managed have liquidated positions to their smallest length since August.  The market has absorbed the offset selling incredibly well and we have been able to maintain trade near, or above, August highs.  This is promising as we are nearing a timeframe where we should start to see an upswing in corn export sales and inspections as the soybean program begins to wind down.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.