11/29/2021

Nov 29, 2021


11/29/2021
Money flow was in sell-off mode on Monday following a highly volatile short session on Friday.  Soybean trade's objective today was to fill the gap from Friday's hard open that left a 10-cent gap overhead on the chart.  Once that gap filled after the coffee break this morning, futures leaked lower throughout the entire day.  News has been routine as of late with only recycled headlines.  Lack of anything fresh typically triggers selling.  Weekly export inspections were strong for soybeans last week with 2.143 million tonnes, above the top trade estimate.  Soybean shipments have increased their pace and are now 20 million bushels below the pace necessary to meet the USDA's export target, versus 60 million the week prior. Corn and wheat shipments were within range but on the low end with 766k tonnes of corn and 251k tonnes of wheat inspected for shipment.  Corn shipments are now short of the pace needed to meet the USDA target by 153 million bushels compared to 151 million bushels the week prior.   In the blink of an eye, we're already less than 10 days away from our next WASDE report.  The December report is one that is always talked as unimportant with a lot of traders looking towards January for the final production numbers.  I hope everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.