11/23/2022

Nov 23, 2022


11/23/2022
Corn adds 3-7 cents and soybeans up 2-6 in quiet fashion going into the holiday. We had an export sale announcement this morning of 110,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for delivery in the 2022/23 marketing year. The first cargo of Brazilian corn destined for China departed today with 15 total booked. On the weekly ethanol report, production rose by 30,000 barrels/day to 1.04 mln bpd and stocks also increased by 1.53 barrels to 22.83 mln bbls. Total corn use for ethanol to date is down 7.5% from last year and the pace is 30 million bushels behind what is needed to meet the USDA forecast. Over the past week, railroad unions have rejected offers from management and a slow down or strike on the railroad seems rather inevitable at this point. Whatever happens will likely be short lived but it will have an effect on overall performance of our grain export programs. Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed Thursday and Friday, November 24-25 for Thanksgiving. The markets are active Friday and we can work a sell-order on your behalf if you desire.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.