11/23/2021

Nov 23, 2021


11/23/2021
Trade was two-sided and choppy in corn and soybeans.  Wheat posted another strong day of double-digit gains, supporting the corn to finish modestly higher on the day.  Weaker board crush margins pushed beans lower.  Mostly recycled news to trade today with the board looking like we may already be in holiday mode with daily ranges narrowing.  Weekly crop progress showed corn harvest was up 4 points to 95% complete, ahead of the 5-year average of 92%.  Soybean harvest was also seen at 95% complete, compared to 92% last week and the 5-year average of 96%.  For those interested, winter wheat planting and emergence were 96% and 86%, respectively, basically on pace with their 5-year averages.  A little chatter around the market today that Brazil was "more dry than wet."  Most likely just talk from traders trying to help their position.  If we learned anything this year, it’s that "more dry than wet" produces a fine crop.  Argentina appears to the beneficiary of some sizeable rains over the next few days.  Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed Thursday and Friday (Nov. 25 and 26) for Thanksgiving. Grain markets will trade a short session on Friday from 8:30am to 12:30pm, we can work a sell order for you that day if you like.  With many traders on holiday, smaller volume creates the potential for some wildly volatile market conditions.  Sometimes the crazy orders get hit but only if they are working.

Front month for corn and soybeans are consolidating following a post-WASDE rally.  Today was the highest close on Dec 21 corn since late June.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.