11/23/2021

Nov 23, 2021


11/23/2021
Trade was two-sided and choppy in corn and soybeans.  Wheat posted another strong day of double-digit gains, supporting the corn to finish modestly higher on the day.  Weaker board crush margins pushed beans lower.  Mostly recycled news to trade today with the board looking like we may already be in holiday mode with daily ranges narrowing.  Weekly crop progress showed corn harvest was up 4 points to 95% complete, ahead of the 5-year average of 92%.  Soybean harvest was also seen at 95% complete, compared to 92% last week and the 5-year average of 96%.  For those interested, winter wheat planting and emergence were 96% and 86%, respectively, basically on pace with their 5-year averages.  A little chatter around the market today that Brazil was "more dry than wet."  Most likely just talk from traders trying to help their position.  If we learned anything this year, it’s that "more dry than wet" produces a fine crop.  Argentina appears to the beneficiary of some sizeable rains over the next few days.  Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed Thursday and Friday (Nov. 25 and 26) for Thanksgiving. Grain markets will trade a short session on Friday from 8:30am to 12:30pm, we can work a sell order for you that day if you like.  With many traders on holiday, smaller volume creates the potential for some wildly volatile market conditions.  Sometimes the crazy orders get hit but only if they are working.

Front month for corn and soybeans are consolidating following a post-WASDE rally.  Today was the highest close on Dec 21 corn since late June.
corn-chart.jpgbeans.jpg

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.