11/23/2021

Nov 23, 2021


11/23/2021
Trade was two-sided and choppy in corn and soybeans.  Wheat posted another strong day of double-digit gains, supporting the corn to finish modestly higher on the day.  Weaker board crush margins pushed beans lower.  Mostly recycled news to trade today with the board looking like we may already be in holiday mode with daily ranges narrowing.  Weekly crop progress showed corn harvest was up 4 points to 95% complete, ahead of the 5-year average of 92%.  Soybean harvest was also seen at 95% complete, compared to 92% last week and the 5-year average of 96%.  For those interested, winter wheat planting and emergence were 96% and 86%, respectively, basically on pace with their 5-year averages.  A little chatter around the market today that Brazil was "more dry than wet."  Most likely just talk from traders trying to help their position.  If we learned anything this year, it’s that "more dry than wet" produces a fine crop.  Argentina appears to the beneficiary of some sizeable rains over the next few days.  Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed Thursday and Friday (Nov. 25 and 26) for Thanksgiving. Grain markets will trade a short session on Friday from 8:30am to 12:30pm, we can work a sell order for you that day if you like.  With many traders on holiday, smaller volume creates the potential for some wildly volatile market conditions.  Sometimes the crazy orders get hit but only if they are working.

Front month for corn and soybeans are consolidating following a post-WASDE rally.  Today was the highest close on Dec 21 corn since late June.
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Read More News

Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.