11/22/2023

Nov 22, 2023


Once again, soybeans were the price leader but trade was in heavy risk-off mode in soy.  Corn and soybeans bounced around between 1-3 cents lower overnight before selling took over after the morning break.  Rains materialized in spots across Brazil and private sources suggested record production in the country is still likely.  The internet is great for showing us the very best and the very worst of the Brazil soybeans, much like what we see across the states during the U.S. growing season.  Corn briefly traded 3 higher before ending the day before settling 1 lower down the board on the day.  The USDA announced two export sales this morning: 110,000 of soft red winter wheat to China and 128,000 tonnes of corn to unknown, both for delivery in the 2023/24 marketing year.  Weekly ethanol data showed a drop in production of 24,000 barrels/day to 1.023 mln/bpd and stocks rising 700,000 barrels to 21.7 mln barrels.  Both of these figures were negative and on the outside of trade expectations.  

Reminder:  Glacial Plains will be closed on Thursday and Friday for Thanksgiving.

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Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.