11/22/2022

Nov 22, 2022


11/22/2022
An extremely quiet and slow-moving trade day for grains and most other commodities with many market participants already on holiday.  Yesterday's weekly export inspections report was still showing bland numbers for corn at 495k tonnes inspected and average volume for soybeans at 2.329 million tonnes inspected.  With any domestic news or headlines lacking to provide market direction, traders are watching crop conditions and weather in Argentina and Brazil closely.  For those of you with basis-fixed December corn contracts, this week's light volume may give us an opportunity to roll out those contracts within a few cents of even.  With the bulk of the volume in corn moving to the Mar 23 contract, spreads off the December have tightened and we have a few days before we hit our deadline.  At the close today, you can roll your December basis out to either the March or May at the cost of 3 cents. 

Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed Thursday and Friday, November 24-25 for Thanksgiving.
 

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Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.