Grain > Commentary > 11-20-2023

11/20/2023

Nov 20, 2023

Soybeans were the darling to start the holiday week.  After trading as much as 13 lower, soybeans completed a large reversal higher to improve 17-27 cents on the day.  Corn drug its feet in lower trade before finally flipping green in the final hour of the session and closing with gains of 1-2 cents out to the July 25 contract.  While soybean sales over the past month have impressed trade, shipments continue to be routine/seasonal.  Export inspections last week were as expected with 554k tonnes of corn and 1.609 mln tonnes of soybeans shipped.  Previous week figures have been routinely revised higher this fall.  The USDA announced 104,000 tonnes of corn sold to Mexico for the 2023/24 marketing year this morning.  

Reminder:  Glacial Plains will be closed on November 23 and 24 for Thanksgiving.

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9/11/2026
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
7/10/2026
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
6/11/2026
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.