11/20/2020

Nov 20, 2020


11/20/2020
We had a couple sales get announced this morning none of which are China again.  158,270 metric ton of corn to Mexico and 131,000 metric ton of corn to Unknown.  Overnight the markets were strong as beans tried once again to get to that infamous 12.00 future mark getting close at 11.9675.  But that’s not 12.00, so the target remains.  Corn got drug along with and managed to put in a triple top at 4.28 December futures.  A triple top is usually not a good sign, but since were still in the year 2020 anything rule of thumb can be violated.  As I said before let’s scale sales into this market and see where we end up averaging when it all over.  If you put all your eggs in one basket nothing is guaranteed.  Covid headlines continue to pile up, but so far the market has not reacted since it is so bulled up.  Be careful is all I am trying to say and do what is right for you and your business.  The bean spreads have moved into even money as the market has its belly full for now as export sales have slowed and the processor continues to feast off harvest bushels.  Corn spreads are steady at small carries as there is just enough movement to keep the market happy.  Get those Dec HTA and Basis contracts cleaned up be Wednesday next week.
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.