11/20/2020

Nov 20, 2020


11/20/2020
We had a couple sales get announced this morning none of which are China again.  158,270 metric ton of corn to Mexico and 131,000 metric ton of corn to Unknown.  Overnight the markets were strong as beans tried once again to get to that infamous 12.00 future mark getting close at 11.9675.  But that’s not 12.00, so the target remains.  Corn got drug along with and managed to put in a triple top at 4.28 December futures.  A triple top is usually not a good sign, but since were still in the year 2020 anything rule of thumb can be violated.  As I said before let’s scale sales into this market and see where we end up averaging when it all over.  If you put all your eggs in one basket nothing is guaranteed.  Covid headlines continue to pile up, but so far the market has not reacted since it is so bulled up.  Be careful is all I am trying to say and do what is right for you and your business.  The bean spreads have moved into even money as the market has its belly full for now as export sales have slowed and the processor continues to feast off harvest bushels.  Corn spreads are steady at small carries as there is just enough movement to keep the market happy.  Get those Dec HTA and Basis contracts cleaned up be Wednesday next week.
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.