11/18/2022

Nov 18, 2022


11/18/2022
Soybeans go into the weekend with a solid bounce of 10-11 cents higher out into the August 2023 contract. Corn finished mixed, scattered from 1 lower to 1 higher, struggling to stray further than a couple cents from unchanged but managed to end the week just fractionally above the 200-day moving average on the front month chart. With next week likely seeing some light volume due to the holiday, the trade algorithms might see today's close as a buy signal and use the thin trade to push the corn market easier. Overall, today was slow for trade, there were no big headlines, reports, or USDA sale announcements to stimulate any fundamental moves. For the week, December corn finishes 8'4 cents up and January soybeans give up 21 cents.

Soybeans continue their long term consolidation between the June highs and July lows, finding trendline resistance and support this week. The breakout from this pattern will be large.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.