11/18/2022

Nov 18, 2022


11/18/2022
Soybeans go into the weekend with a solid bounce of 10-11 cents higher out into the August 2023 contract. Corn finished mixed, scattered from 1 lower to 1 higher, struggling to stray further than a couple cents from unchanged but managed to end the week just fractionally above the 200-day moving average on the front month chart. With next week likely seeing some light volume due to the holiday, the trade algorithms might see today's close as a buy signal and use the thin trade to push the corn market easier. Overall, today was slow for trade, there were no big headlines, reports, or USDA sale announcements to stimulate any fundamental moves. For the week, December corn finishes 8'4 cents up and January soybeans give up 21 cents.

Soybeans continue their long term consolidation between the June highs and July lows, finding trendline resistance and support this week. The breakout from this pattern will be large.
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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.