11/17/2022

Nov 17, 2022


11/17/2022
Grains were lower for a majority of the session but corn was able to flip the front months higher late in the day. Soybeans also made an impressive recovery off of their intraday lows, ending the day 10-12 cents lower after trading 20-23 cents down. No major news or headlines for corn today as the path of least resistance remains to the downside but still holding technical support above 650'0. Soybeans reeled back today as conditions improved in Argentina with some scattered rains and Brazil weather is steadily favorable for crop development. After weeks of modest volumes, last week's export sales impressed. The weekly report showed corn sales netting 1.17 mln tonnes and soybeans outperforming estimates in a big way at 3.03 mln tonnes. We were confident that last week's sudden down turn in the markets would be what we needed to get fresh demand rolling in and it appears to have done that.

Trade has been defending the downside in corn all week, ping-ponging between the 100 and 200 day moving averages. This week’s price action has been anything but bearish. Ending the week above the 200-day average would be good support going into a holiday week that will likely feature light volume.
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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.