11/17/2020

Nov 17, 2020


11/17/2020
USDA announced a sale of 195 mt US corn to Mexico. Still no new US corn or soybean sales to China despite rumors of them buying both corn and beans as of late.  Corn was rumored of 500,000 MT out of the gulf yesterday, but nothing got confirmed.  Corn bids on the rail have disappeared as freight fell apart and are still not very well defined today.  Processors continue to improve basis locally as new corn movement likely won’t happen until the winter months.  Corn support today came from the firm soybeans market and Brazil weather concerns for the safrinha planting which begins after soy harvest.  Beans are the story at the moment and will be for a while as a 190 million carryout is tight and that might be getting tighter by the day.  We are in rationing mode and higher prices may be needed if this carryout or less is realized.  US corn harvest this past week moved to 95% complete, while bean harvest is now at 96% complete.  For those of you with corn HTA's left in the Dec we are running out of time and the spread is tightening back up as the board moves higher.  For those of you with corn basis contracts under the Dec you are also running out time, but the spread tightening is working in your favor.  We have until the Nov 25th to get the Dec futures cleaned up.
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...