11/16/2023

Nov 16, 2023


Corn was the lone bright spot in trade today with finishes ranging from 3 to 5 cents higher.  Almost every other ag commodity was lower.  The soy complex as a whole was down and featured soybeans sharply lower with 17-24 cent losses.  At 8 a.m. this morning, the USDA confirmed the sale of 220,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown during the 2023/24 marketing year.  The weekly export sales report was a weekly sales record for soybeans with 3.918 mln tonnes sold.  This was within the range of expectations following last week's large sale announcements.  Corn out-performed expectations with 1.8 mln tonnes sold.  Corn and soybeans both made leaps towards catching up to their sales paces needed to meet their USDA targets.  Corn improved from 48 million bushels short to 10 million bushels short.  Soybeans improved from 170 million bushels short to 51 million bushels short.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.