11/14/2022

Nov 14, 2022


11/14/2022
Corn and soybeans close lower to start the week.  We saw some brief trade higher mid-morning before getting stuck in the red on the day.  The weekly export inspections did little to help the market out with soybeans under-performing at 1.858 mln tonnes shipped.  Corn impressed the most at 484k tonnes but was still only average for the week.  December corn traded 5 cents either direction before finishing unchanged on the day.  January soybeans ran into overhead trendline resistance for the 6th time in the past 7 sessions.  Corn spreads tightened by a good amount today.  If you have basis fixed deliveries or contracts in place, it's a good time to pay close attention as we could have potential opportunities to roll these contracts ahead close to even money in the near future.  With harvest pretty well wrapped up around the country, end user cash bids have strengthened significantly in an effort to keep grain moving.
 

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.