11/14/2022

Nov 14, 2022


11/14/2022
Corn and soybeans close lower to start the week.  We saw some brief trade higher mid-morning before getting stuck in the red on the day.  The weekly export inspections did little to help the market out with soybeans under-performing at 1.858 mln tonnes shipped.  Corn impressed the most at 484k tonnes but was still only average for the week.  December corn traded 5 cents either direction before finishing unchanged on the day.  January soybeans ran into overhead trendline resistance for the 6th time in the past 7 sessions.  Corn spreads tightened by a good amount today.  If you have basis fixed deliveries or contracts in place, it's a good time to pay close attention as we could have potential opportunities to roll these contracts ahead close to even money in the near future.  With harvest pretty well wrapped up around the country, end user cash bids have strengthened significantly in an effort to keep grain moving.
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.