11/12/2021

Nov 12, 2021


11/12/2021
Corn and soybeans surge going into the weekend with soybeans posting 20+ cent gains to finish the week strong.  The USDA made an 8am sale announcement of 256,930 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown during the 2021/22 marketing year.  Weekly export sales for corn were mid-range with 1.067 million tonnes sold.  Soybean and wheat net sales were within range but towards the low end, with 1.289 mmt of soybeans and 289k tonnes of wheat sold last week.  Double-digit gains in soybean meal provided the big push in soybeans futures today.  Corn strength following Tuesday's report has been provided mostly by China's domestic corn price which has rallied as of late.  Some see this as a sign that China will be entering the market soon but China's state government has encouraged citizens to stockpile and that sounds like something you do when you're preparing to cut yourself off from the rest of the world.  A quick look at the technical charts shows corn and soybeans found some quick resistance at the overhead trend lines today and did not test them.  If you did not do a round of sales at these levels two weeks ago, I'm a seller here.  Otherwise, patience could be beneficial to see if there is enough momentum to break us out higher.  

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.