11/12/2020

Nov 12, 2020


11/12/2020
Today was a correction day in Chicago as futures came down from their new highs on Wednesday and the nearby corn returned to their pre-WASDE report price levels.  What we mainly see right now is speculators and funds taking this opportunity for profit taking to liquidate some of their long positions.  Funds are currently estimated long contracts 340,000 of corn and 280,000 of soybeans alone.  New sale announcements have been quiet lately and the bulls need to be fed daily.  Covid headlines continue to be worrisome as a national shutdown continues to be talked about.  Farmer selling was fairly quiet again today, which is not a surprise as the charts and fundamentals still look well supported.  The market cannot go up every day even in a bull market.  Tomorrow we will get export sale numbers at 7:30 am, but I would expect another quiet day.  
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.