11/12/2020

Nov 12, 2020


11/12/2020
Today was a correction day in Chicago as futures came down from their new highs on Wednesday and the nearby corn returned to their pre-WASDE report price levels.  What we mainly see right now is speculators and funds taking this opportunity for profit taking to liquidate some of their long positions.  Funds are currently estimated long contracts 340,000 of corn and 280,000 of soybeans alone.  New sale announcements have been quiet lately and the bulls need to be fed daily.  Covid headlines continue to be worrisome as a national shutdown continues to be talked about.  Farmer selling was fairly quiet again today, which is not a surprise as the charts and fundamentals still look well supported.  The market cannot go up every day even in a bull market.  Tomorrow we will get export sale numbers at 7:30 am, but I would expect another quiet day.  
 

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.