11/11/2021

Nov 11, 2021


11/11/2021
Some indecisive action during a quieter day of trade and smaller ranges for corn and soybeans.  Corn traded 10 higher early in the session and then faded into mid-day to finish unchanged-1 lower.  Soybeans traded double-digits higher early in the day session and managed to post modest gains on the day as a beneficiary of positive crush margins.  Spring wheat made a big charge at the 8:30am open, trading around 20 cents higher, and closed the day 9-10 higher.  Fund interest and activity continues to push water uphill in support of the grains and somewhat ignore fundamentals and outside influences such as a lack of export business, comfortable ending stocks, ideal conditions in South America, and a sharp 2-day rally in the dollar.  USDA offices were closed for Veterans' Day today so our weekly export sales and any flash sales (if applicable) will be posted tomorrow morning.  It feels like inflation is priced into our commodities at this point when comparing current market levels on the board to our carryout inventories in grains to the historical data.   

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.