11/10/2022

Nov 10, 2022


11/10/2022
A little post-WASDE hangover in the markets today as any big market moving news continues to be lacking. Corn and soybeans traded mostly sideways/slightly higher overnight before reversing. A lack of headlines is typically negative for markets and combining a slow newswire with a now bigger crop sent money away from grains. The USDA announced the sale of 209,931 tonnes of corn to Mexico for the 2022/23 marketing year. The USDA chose to not address to the slow export pace for the 2022/23 corn and left that number unchanged. Export sales were weak last week, most notably for corn. At 265k tonnes, corn sales were their lowest for the week since 2012. Soybeans posting 795k tonnes of net sales was average for this week. To date, current export sales pace is 346 million bushels short of meeting the USDA target (a 24 million bushel increase from last week). Soybean sales pace has also slowed down and is now 76 million bushels short versus 64 million bushels a week ago.

Key reversal lower on the January soybean chart today. After a sharp rally to begin November, we have corrected lower to an area where there is some moving average convergence in the 1412-1420 area and trendline support around the 1400 level. We will be watching this area closely to see how the market wants to approach it. Hopefully this recent pullback on the futures will stimulate some much-needed fresh export demand for corn.
bean-chart.png

Read More News

Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.