10/9/2020

Oct 09, 2020


10/9/2020
Today was another wild day as the market kept the bull trend alive.  The USDA brought the bean carryout all the way down to 290 million, which seemed very friendly to the initial trade.  Beans traded up 32 on the initial reaction, then back to only up 6 in a matter of minutes, to finish back up 17.  They put bean exports up 75 million.  Bean yield was left unchanged at 51.9 bpa.  $10.00 cash bean orders filled today if you had orders working.  On the corn side it was a fairly neutral report.  Corn carryout was put at 2.167 billion carryout.  Corn yield was basically unchanged at 178.4 bpa.  Ethanol dropped 50 million and feed dropped 50 million.  Corn made a new high for the move today at 3.9825 December futures.  3.50 new crop orders filled today.  It still feels like corn is a follower here.  For the week corn was up 16 and beans were up 41.  Not bad for being in the middle of harvest.  Have a good and safe weekend!
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.