10/4/2021

Oct 04, 2021


10/4/2021
Markets opened weaker Sunday night with corn trading 3-4 lower and soybeans trading 8-10 lower almost immediately after the open.  This morning, we had an 8am sale announcement with the USDA confirming an export sale of 426,800 tonnes (16.8 million bushels) to Mexico for the 2021/22 marketing year. The buyers showed up for wheat, again, today, with corn and soybeans trying to play follow-the-leader.  Corn traded 6 higher and soybeans 1 higher around midmorning, then steadily faded throughout the day, closing well off of the highs.  December 22 corn traded a new contract high of 538'6 today before retreating.  Input prices for next year's corn crop have been a hot topic lately and with an increasing supply of corn now readily available most everywhere, this seems more like an attempt to buy acres for next year.  Soybeans continue to reel from the quarterly grain stocks report, with the November 2021 contract trading and closing below the 1240'0 level for the first time since the end of March.  1240'0 was a major support level and the report was very bearish for soybeans, it will be interesting to see what the funds and managed money decide to do in the soy sector in the near future.  Harvest should be full bore this week with a beautiful forecast ahead of us.  There are minimal soybeans left to come out and corn harvest is beginning to ramp up.

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.