10/31/2023

Oct 31, 2023


The corn market was quiet on Tuesday, with ranges of 5-6 cents and closes on either side of a penny higher catching most of the contracts.  Other than a buying spike around the mid-day point of the session, trade was extremely steady and sideways.  Soybeans were a little more exciting, with trade up to 18 cents higher at one time on the day.  We faded off of the intraday highs and ended the session with modest gains of 1-4 cents.  The USDA made an export sale announcement this morning confirming 239,492 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Mexico during the 2023/24 marketing year.  The forecasted ending stocks are tight for U.S. soybeans but demand has been a little sluggish, as well.  Along with continued farmer selling, November soybeans will struggle to eclipse $13.  Corn continues to be stuck in range trade.  Rallies continue to invite farmer selling and carry through strength on these rallies is lacking with big harvest activity still progressing through the U.S.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.