10/30/2020

Oct 30, 2020


10/30/2020
Month end has arrived once again.  We continued the risk off mode heading into the weekend as energy and stocks were the worst performers.  Grains finished a touch higher on the close, but were uneventful.  Tuesday next week we can put the election behind us and get one big unknown out of the way.  Spreads on corn widened back out again today as Barge freight went CRAZY.  So, another words there is a lot of demand up front, but we can’t logistically ship it that fast.  This might be a good opportunity to roll your HTA’s out to the March and continue to let basis improve.    A 5-cent carry to March isn’t much, but it still beats zero.  Manage your risk accordingly. The USDA announced another sale of 121,500 MT’s of soybeans to “unknown” this morning.  This bean market continues to feel friendly to me, but this correction was due.  I think any break lower will be well supported.  Weather looks good next week to wrap up harvest.  The 8-14 day does not look nearly as good as it looks cold and wet.  Have a great Halloween weekend! 

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Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
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