10/29/2021

Oct 29, 2021


10/29/2021
Grains shrugged off early weakness and corn goes into the weekend after trading strongly for close to the entirety of the day session, setting fresh highs for the day shortly before the closing bell.  Soybeans gain back yesterday’s losses after buying support spilled over from corn and wheat.  The Spring Wheat front month has now set new contract highs in 8 of the last 10 trading days.  Oats continue to climb higher into uncharted territory, setting new all-time highs nearly every day.  No one seems to have a solid understanding of the sudden surge in the corn market other than technical buying to stay competitive with small grains and buying acres for next year.  The USDA made 3 sale announcements at 8am this morning, all for the 2021-22 marketing year; 279,415 tonnes of corn to Mexico, 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown, and 222,350 tonnes of soybeans to unknown.  It’s good to see some export sales but we need to see a lot more for those to become more meaningful and not just routine business.  Weekly cash closes: corn up 30 cents and soybeans 22 cents higher.
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.