10/29/2021

Oct 29, 2021


10/29/2021
Grains shrugged off early weakness and corn goes into the weekend after trading strongly for close to the entirety of the day session, setting fresh highs for the day shortly before the closing bell.  Soybeans gain back yesterday’s losses after buying support spilled over from corn and wheat.  The Spring Wheat front month has now set new contract highs in 8 of the last 10 trading days.  Oats continue to climb higher into uncharted territory, setting new all-time highs nearly every day.  No one seems to have a solid understanding of the sudden surge in the corn market other than technical buying to stay competitive with small grains and buying acres for next year.  The USDA made 3 sale announcements at 8am this morning, all for the 2021-22 marketing year; 279,415 tonnes of corn to Mexico, 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown, and 222,350 tonnes of soybeans to unknown.  It’s good to see some export sales but we need to see a lot more for those to become more meaningful and not just routine business.  Weekly cash closes: corn up 30 cents and soybeans 22 cents higher.
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.