10/28/2022

Oct 28, 2022


10/28/2022
Corn traded 2-4 lower for most of the day until some late technical buying came in, corn bounced off of its 50-day moving average on the charts and managed to finish around 1 lower on the day to keep itself on trend. Soybean price action was similar with the commodity spending a majority of the session around 5 cents lower until buying came in after the mid-day point and momentum built as it flipped positive on the day. Soybeans finished 5-8 cents higher and stay on trend. The USDA confirmed two soybean sales at 8 a.m. this morning that included 126,000 tonnes to China and 198,000 tonnes to Spain, both for delivery in the 2022/23 marketing year. Big gains on Wall Street today as of about 1:30 with the DOW 750 points higher, the NASDAQ 300 higher, and the S&P 80 points higher.

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Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.