Grain > Commentary > 10-28-2020

10/28/2020

Oct 28, 2020

10/28/2020
Today was correction day as it was risk off day in grains, energies and stocks.  Corn held the 4.00 support level, but will it hold tonight and tomorrow?  The next 48 hours will be important to see how these charts shake out.  The big question today is, is it over?  I doubt it's over.  This is a healthy correction for the markets and it was overdue.  We need to shake the tree every once in a while.  Now it's a matter of how long it lasts and how low we can go.  Covid headlines are back in a big way as we are setting records on new cases.  The election is next Tuesday, which is a major concern and unknown.  There is a lot of money moving to the sideline at the moment, which shouldn't be a surprise.  Let’s see what happens tomorrow and the balance of the week.
 

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10/9/2026
Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
9/11/2026
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
7/10/2026
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected.