10/27/2022

Oct 27, 2022


10/27/2022
Another day of sideways trade comes to an end. November soybeans traded 13 cents higher shortly after 8:30 this morning but were unable to hold the move higher. The weekly export sales appeared to show a solid 1.026 mln tonnes of beans sold last week but more than half of that number was previous business switched from unknown destinations. Corn sales disappointed, coming in below expectations at 264k tonnes sold. Doing a year-to-year comparison, 2022/23 corn sales are currently 47% behind and soybean sales run 5% ahead of last year at this time. The savior for the corn market has been domestic demand. Ethanol and livestock appear to be doing "okay" even with the current high price for corn and seek further ownership.

Starting to see some attention being paid to the drought monitor as harvest winds down. The current state is supportive to the market as we go into winter.
drought-monitor.png

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.