10/26/2021

Oct 26, 2021


10/26/2021
Minneapolis wheat had an interesting day to trading up 21 at one point making new highs for the move at 10.47 futures, before finishing the day in red figures at 10.21 futures.  When wheat sprang higher it pulled corn and beans into green figures after struggling most of the morning.  Corn topped out up 8 cents at 5.47 futures.  5.48 1/2 was our high on September 30th, so that should be stiff resistance.  Maybe oats know something we don't as they busted out over $7.00 futures today for the first time!  We will have to see how the rest of the week plays out as the bulls and bears should be on their toes as decisions need to made at these levels.  We did have a couple bean export sales announced this morning, 199,000 metric ton to China and 125,730 metric ton to Mexico.  Still no corn sales, so we wait!  Those of you with bean basis fixed contracts need to be priced or rolled to the Jan by Thursday at the close.  
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.