10/26/2021

Oct 26, 2021


10/26/2021
Minneapolis wheat had an interesting day to trading up 21 at one point making new highs for the move at 10.47 futures, before finishing the day in red figures at 10.21 futures.  When wheat sprang higher it pulled corn and beans into green figures after struggling most of the morning.  Corn topped out up 8 cents at 5.47 futures.  5.48 1/2 was our high on September 30th, so that should be stiff resistance.  Maybe oats know something we don't as they busted out over $7.00 futures today for the first time!  We will have to see how the rest of the week plays out as the bulls and bears should be on their toes as decisions need to made at these levels.  We did have a couple bean export sales announced this morning, 199,000 metric ton to China and 125,730 metric ton to Mexico.  Still no corn sales, so we wait!  Those of you with bean basis fixed contracts need to be priced or rolled to the Jan by Thursday at the close.  
 

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.