10/26/2021

Oct 26, 2021


10/26/2021
Minneapolis wheat had an interesting day to trading up 21 at one point making new highs for the move at 10.47 futures, before finishing the day in red figures at 10.21 futures.  When wheat sprang higher it pulled corn and beans into green figures after struggling most of the morning.  Corn topped out up 8 cents at 5.47 futures.  5.48 1/2 was our high on September 30th, so that should be stiff resistance.  Maybe oats know something we don't as they busted out over $7.00 futures today for the first time!  We will have to see how the rest of the week plays out as the bulls and bears should be on their toes as decisions need to made at these levels.  We did have a couple bean export sales announced this morning, 199,000 metric ton to China and 125,730 metric ton to Mexico.  Still no corn sales, so we wait!  Those of you with bean basis fixed contracts need to be priced or rolled to the Jan by Thursday at the close.  
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.