10/26/2020

Oct 26, 2020


10/26/2020
USDA announced sales of 135 mt soybean meal to Philippines and 120.7 mt soybeans to Unknown.  Brazil saw good rains over the weekend and initially had the market a little bit on edge.  There was also rain in Russia over the weekend along with needed rain in winter wheat country in the US, which had wheat on it heals all day as well.  Corn, beans, and wheat were all trading lower this morning, but once again someone was there to buy beans and defend their positions.  It still feels like we are close to a correction, but I have been saying that for a week now.  Weekly US soybean exports were impressive at 98 mil bu versus 85 last week and 58 last year. Season to date exports are near 527 mil bu versus 297 last year. USDA goal is 2,200 versus 1,676 last year.  Weekly US corn exports were at the low end of expectations at 25 mil bu. As I have mentioned before the corn program does not pick up until December, but continues to look promising.  Spreads continue to disappear on the corn as we near even money.  The bean carries are long gone.  Everyone wants the grain now and are not satisfied by the amount of corn movement off the combine. 
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.