10/25/2021

Oct 25, 2021


10/25/2021
Wheat yet again supports the grain markets and makes new highs for the move.  We topped out today at 10.31 December futures.  Beans also had a nice day bouncing back from last weeks end of the week decline.  Corn was flat as we await something new to trade.  Outside markets helped be supportive as bean oil, financials, and crude trade higher.  Corn export inspections for the week ending October 21 came in at 545,127 metric tonnes from trade expectations for 750,000-1.2 million tonnes.  Corn business remains slow as new sales have not been seen in quite some time.  Soybean export inspections for the week ending October 21 came in at 2,103,505 metric tonnes from trade expectations for 1.800-2.625 million tonnes.  Bean oil continues to drive the bus in the bean market.  Overall, the markets feel range bound until we get something fresh to change that.  Both corn and beans are basically in a 50-cent trading range, corn 5.00 to 5.50 futures, while beans are 12.00 to 12.50 futures.  Continue to make sales near the top of the range. 
 

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May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.