10/25/2021

Oct 25, 2021


10/25/2021
Wheat yet again supports the grain markets and makes new highs for the move.  We topped out today at 10.31 December futures.  Beans also had a nice day bouncing back from last weeks end of the week decline.  Corn was flat as we await something new to trade.  Outside markets helped be supportive as bean oil, financials, and crude trade higher.  Corn export inspections for the week ending October 21 came in at 545,127 metric tonnes from trade expectations for 750,000-1.2 million tonnes.  Corn business remains slow as new sales have not been seen in quite some time.  Soybean export inspections for the week ending October 21 came in at 2,103,505 metric tonnes from trade expectations for 1.800-2.625 million tonnes.  Bean oil continues to drive the bus in the bean market.  Overall, the markets feel range bound until we get something fresh to change that.  Both corn and beans are basically in a 50-cent trading range, corn 5.00 to 5.50 futures, while beans are 12.00 to 12.50 futures.  Continue to make sales near the top of the range. 
 

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May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.