10/24/2022

Oct 24, 2022


10/24/2022
General weakness in corn with harvest and hedge pressure saw the commodity locked in 1-2 cent lower trade for a majority of the day. Soybeans were sharply lower, reacting to China further consolidating political power. November options also expired on Friday which may have left some feeling the pain of some bad call purchases and cutting losses. Weekly export inspections were 18.5 million bushels, well below the 41.1 million average that is needed weekly for corn to meet the USDA export forecast. Soybean inspections totaled 106 million bushels; a huge number that helps gain back some ground from the marketing year's slow start. Weather forecast looks favorable for corn harvest to be pretty well finished this week. The farmer was an active seller today, pricing delivered corn bushels.

Corn trade has been mostly sideways for the past two months, stuck inside of a 30 cent range and continues to coil/consolidate. Outlook is favorable for higher prices closer to the end of the year. Looking at the 725-750 futures area as a target window for future sales.
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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.