10/22/2020

Oct 22, 2020


10/22/2020
Overnight markets start lower with beans down 8-9 cents and corn down 3-4, but once again someone was there to buy the dip.  We had more sales announced this morning which consisted of 152,404 metric ton of beans to Mexico, 132,000 metric ton of beans to Unknown, and 130,000 of white wheat to South Korea.  Beans broke out higher today for a bit this morning and made new highs once again at 10.85 November futures before fading back at the close and finishing up a penny.  Corn also made a new high today at 4.19 December futures a penny away from the 4.20 target area.  As I mentioned yesterday this market is bulled up in all phases right now, but we need to be careful.  We are due for a correction at any time and the market felt a bit toppy today putting in new highs and barely hanging onto green figures at the close.  I am not saying we are not going higher in time, just saying we are due for a short-term correction.  Export sales this morning were very good for both corn and beans, which should not be a surprise to anyone.  South America is getting the rains they needed and more is in the forecast, but they remain behind pace on planting.  I am hearing PNW bean bids are now stretching out thru February.
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.