10/22/2020

Oct 22, 2020


10/22/2020
Overnight markets start lower with beans down 8-9 cents and corn down 3-4, but once again someone was there to buy the dip.  We had more sales announced this morning which consisted of 152,404 metric ton of beans to Mexico, 132,000 metric ton of beans to Unknown, and 130,000 of white wheat to South Korea.  Beans broke out higher today for a bit this morning and made new highs once again at 10.85 November futures before fading back at the close and finishing up a penny.  Corn also made a new high today at 4.19 December futures a penny away from the 4.20 target area.  As I mentioned yesterday this market is bulled up in all phases right now, but we need to be careful.  We are due for a correction at any time and the market felt a bit toppy today putting in new highs and barely hanging onto green figures at the close.  I am not saying we are not going higher in time, just saying we are due for a short-term correction.  Export sales this morning were very good for both corn and beans, which should not be a surprise to anyone.  South America is getting the rains they needed and more is in the forecast, but they remain behind pace on planting.  I am hearing PNW bean bids are now stretching out thru February.
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.