10/20/2020

Oct 20, 2020


10/20/2020
Corn and beans made another move higher today.  We had another bean export sale announced this morning to Unknown in the amount of 132,000 metric ton.  It continues to be a daily occurrence to see sales.  There is more corn sales chattered about to China, so we wait for confirmations.  There seems to be more corn moving the last couple weeks, but the market still isn't satisfied.  I am hearing some big pushes already being paid by processors in Iowa and in the eastern belt on both corn and beans.  We are definitely in some interesting times and that is going to continue with the election right around the corner.  Spreads continue to be active and firm as the market tries to free up nearby bushels.  Corn harvest was pegged at 60% complete compared to 43% average. Soybean harvest is now 75% complete vs 58% average.  Trade expectations were closer to 79%.  Obviously, weather will slow us down from here as snow and cold doesn't help.  The 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast look cold and mainly dry, so hopefully progress can continue next week.  Remain buckled in as this market volatility is far from over. 
 

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.