10/18/2021

Oct 18, 2021


10/18/2021
Corn and soybeans saw the last few days’ uptrend continue with December corn closing just below its overhead consolidation trend line and 50 day moving-average.  Markets started out the overnight session mostly weaker and bouncing around either side of unchanged.  The weekly export inspections helped ignite some excitement with 2.298 million tonnes of soybeans and 976k tonnes of corn inspected for shipment last week, both above trade range expectations and a good sign that the export program is humming along at the time period of our largest supply.  Weekly crop progress is expected to show that we are still well ahead of average harvest pace for corn and soybeans.  Brazil is planting soybeans in ideal conditions and well ahead of their average pace, with their biggest soybean producing state Mato Grasso estimated to be 45% planted (8% last year, 26% 5-year average).  With the size of the soybean crop in South America expected to see a solid increase, it's extremely important for the US to be efficient in shipping out soy exports this year.  Locally, we had a big harvest weekend and it looks like the greater portion of harvest will be complete at the end of this week, pending potential rain on Wednesday. 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.