10/15/2021

Oct 15, 2021


10/15/2021
Strong moves higher in wheat and oats, along with some technical support on the charts, lift corn and soybeans to finish the week.  Trade was lower at the overnight open but never looked in the rearview once we were back in the green.  The USDA announced 3 separate soybean sales for the 2021/22 marketing year at 8am this morning; 396,000 tonnes to unknown, 326,750 tonnes to unknown, and 132,000 tonnes to China for a total of 31.4 million bushels.  Net export sales for last week topped one million tonnes for corn and soybeans and were mid-range for trade estimates.  Last week netted 1.04 million tonnes of corn and 1.15 million tonnes of soybeans sold for export.  An unusually information packed Friday also included the NOPA crush numbers for September.  Bushels crushed was reported at 153.8 million vs 155 million estimated and soyoil stocks came in at 1.684 billion barrels vs 1.663 estimated.  With this morning’s large export sale announcement, the market wasn't concerned with these slightly negative numbers.  Current forecast looks like we should have a big harvest weekend across the western corn belt.  

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.