10/10/2022

Oct 10, 2022


10/10/2022
Wheat was the price leader today with the Chicago and Kansas City boards nearly reaching 70 cents higher shortly after 8:30 this morning.  Minneapolis wheat surged to as much as 56 cents higher on the day.  A weekend of war escalation between Russia and Ukraine was all the excuse money needed to buy.  Wheat sustained the sharply higher trade rather well, able to end the day within 10-12 cents of their high marks.  The spill-over buying flooded into corn and soybeans.  Corn broke to the high side, sending the December contract to trade above $7.00 for the first time since late June.  Trade was unable to hold the 7 handle and closed a couple pennies under.  November soybeans looked ready to break back into the $14.00 range but were sold off swiftly just short of that mark.  Following a solid weekend of harvest, the sharply higher markets made the farmer an active seller today.  Trade expects some fresh numbers in the October WASDE report on Wednesday including further yield cuts to this year's U.S. corn and soybean crops.  Even if realized, we still need to be careful being long-term bullish following today's price action and a friendly report.  Most macro indicators are still predicting large economic recession early in 2023.  Yield reports from our area and around the grain belt have also not been in favor of those hoping for a crop disaster.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...