10/10/2022

Oct 10, 2022


10/10/2022
Wheat was the price leader today with the Chicago and Kansas City boards nearly reaching 70 cents higher shortly after 8:30 this morning.  Minneapolis wheat surged to as much as 56 cents higher on the day.  A weekend of war escalation between Russia and Ukraine was all the excuse money needed to buy.  Wheat sustained the sharply higher trade rather well, able to end the day within 10-12 cents of their high marks.  The spill-over buying flooded into corn and soybeans.  Corn broke to the high side, sending the December contract to trade above $7.00 for the first time since late June.  Trade was unable to hold the 7 handle and closed a couple pennies under.  November soybeans looked ready to break back into the $14.00 range but were sold off swiftly just short of that mark.  Following a solid weekend of harvest, the sharply higher markets made the farmer an active seller today.  Trade expects some fresh numbers in the October WASDE report on Wednesday including further yield cuts to this year's U.S. corn and soybean crops.  Even if realized, we still need to be careful being long-term bullish following today's price action and a friendly report.  Most macro indicators are still predicting large economic recession early in 2023.  Yield reports from our area and around the grain belt have also not been in favor of those hoping for a crop disaster.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.