1/9/2024

Jan 09, 2024


Corn and soybeans manage to hold on to some small gains to complete a modest turn-around Tuesday.  Once again, no major new or market headlines to trade but just ahead of the close there was a murmur of some potential corn export business FINALLY getting done.  Full estimates for our USDA report on Friday show that analysts expect South American crop production to be cut roughly 3% from the December report but is still expected to provide a significant influx of supply to the market during their seasonal harvests.  U.S. crop figures and data are expected to be mostly unchanged from December with corn sticking with a 174.9 bu/ac yield but a slight trimming of acres to bring down total production.  The soybean balance sheet is expected to show virtually no changes from December.  Despite estimates not expecting too much in terms of surprises, this report still carries a lot of weight as it is considered the USDA's "official" guess for U.S. corn and soybean production and will provide us with acres and yield numbers we will use on our balance sheets for the remainder of the crop year.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.