1/9/2023

Jan 09, 2023


1/9/2023
A quiet start to the week in corn and soybeans.  Overnight trade was steady in the range of 1-3 cents higher for corn and 5-10 cents higher in soybeans.  Trade gave way to weakness shortly after the 8:30 open where corn and beans hovered backwards to trade either side of unchanged.  We will likely remain in relatively tight ranges as we move towards Thursday's big data dump from the USDA.  The weekly export inspections report was, once again, lacking anything exciting.  Corn shipments totaled 398k tonnes and soybean shipments came in at 1.438 mln tonnes.  These figures were on the low-end of expectations for corn and mid-range for soybeans.  Marketing year shipment pace for corn is currently 150 million bushels below the USDA target, soybeans at 46 million bushels behind target.  Despite what some are calling severe dry weather, pre-report estimates show Argentina still producing a larger crop than last year.  Trade also expects the USDA to show a 9% increase in Brazil's corn crop this year and a 20% increase in soy production.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.