1/6/2023

Jan 06, 2023


1/6/2023
Soybeans bounce double-digits higher into the weekend with 14-21 cent gains.  Corn had buyers overnight and early in the day session, trading to 7 cents higher before profit taking evaporated gains.  Corn finishes mixed 1 lower to 1 higher.  The USDA confirmed two export sales this morning: 132,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown during the 2022/23 marketing year and 112,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico, split between the 22/23 and 23/24 marketing years.  The weekly net export sales report was disappointing for wheat and corn.  Wheat sales have had record low volumes the past two weeks.  Corn sales came in well below estimates at 319k tonnes sold and featured Mexico as the only significant buyer.  Soybean sales were average at 721k tonnes sold.  I expect the markets to be relatively quiet heading into next Thursday's crop production report.  Like always, we encourage everyone to have sell orders working on major report days for old and new crop.

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Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu.