1/5/2024

Jan 05, 2024


Corn and soybeans turn in a poor performance to end the first trading week of 2024.  The charts are unattractive and soybeans are extremely oversold from a technical standpoint but there's something to be said about catching a falling knife.  The weekly export sales report appeared to give trade their excuse to continue lower.  Corn and soybean sales were both missed short of their expected ranges but I'm not sure how surprised we should really be about a poor export sales performance on a short week that is stuffed between two major holidays.  Corn sales totaled 367.5k tonnes and soybean sales came in a 201.6k tonnes.  Corn and soybeans were both well into new lows today while oats and the balance of the soy complex also traded extremely weak.  The lone bright spot were some modest gains across the wheat.  At this point, our best chance to put together a sustained rally is for a problem to develop somewhere around the globe that poses a threat to grains.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.