1/5/2022

Jan 05, 2022


1/5/2022
The market took a bit of a breather today after yesterday's move higher.  Corn traded lower the entire session along with wheat.  Beans traded both sides of unchanged and finished higher once again up 5 cents on the day.  We did make a new high for the move today on both old and new crop bean futures to continue the trend.  It's all about new money into a new year and a South American forecast that is worrisome.  Be careful and continue to scale up on sales for both old and new crop corn and beans.  Can we go higher?  Sure, we can but if the forecast changes in South America this market could break in a blink of an eye.  I would like to point something out today that I found very interesting on Twitter.  This week's Argentina crop condition ratings had beans at 56% good to excellent, 36% fair, and 8% poor to very poor.  One year ago, to compare their crop condition ratings were 36% good to excellent, 56% fair, and 8% poor to very poor.  I am not saying there is not a problem brewing by any means, but I am saying it might be a bit early to throw in the towel on their crop.  We found out what timely rains can do last year.  Looking at some charts here are my current targets.  March bean futures have resistance at 13.995, if we can break that 14.45 is next target.  The Nov bean futures target is 13.13.  The March corn target is our previous high of 6.17 futures and the Dec target is 5.65 futures.  If you want to get some orders working let us know. 

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.