1/5/2022

Jan 05, 2022


1/5/2022
The market took a bit of a breather today after yesterday's move higher.  Corn traded lower the entire session along with wheat.  Beans traded both sides of unchanged and finished higher once again up 5 cents on the day.  We did make a new high for the move today on both old and new crop bean futures to continue the trend.  It's all about new money into a new year and a South American forecast that is worrisome.  Be careful and continue to scale up on sales for both old and new crop corn and beans.  Can we go higher?  Sure, we can but if the forecast changes in South America this market could break in a blink of an eye.  I would like to point something out today that I found very interesting on Twitter.  This week's Argentina crop condition ratings had beans at 56% good to excellent, 36% fair, and 8% poor to very poor.  One year ago, to compare their crop condition ratings were 36% good to excellent, 56% fair, and 8% poor to very poor.  I am not saying there is not a problem brewing by any means, but I am saying it might be a bit early to throw in the towel on their crop.  We found out what timely rains can do last year.  Looking at some charts here are my current targets.  March bean futures have resistance at 13.995, if we can break that 14.45 is next target.  The Nov bean futures target is 13.13.  The March corn target is our previous high of 6.17 futures and the Dec target is 5.65 futures.  If you want to get some orders working let us know. 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.