1/4/2024

Jan 04, 2024


The slow grind of the market continued on Thursday with soybeans giving back 4-9 cents but corn found some interest, ending the session slightly higher out to the December 24 contract. March corn spreads were firmer again, today, as well. Trade is still waiting for a story to develop for U.S. corn and soybean demand appears to be satisfied. Wheat rallied today on rumors of more China business. Funds and spec money is content to stay net short until we get something to spark this market higher. News continues to be entirely routine and slow and the market doesn't look like it will do much ahead of next week's report. Weekly ethanol data showed production down 58,000 barrels/day to 1.049 million barrels. Stocks were increased by 100,000 barrels to 23.6 mln bbls.

Corn continues to consolidate sideways/lower towards a potential breakout on report day.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.