1/4/2024

Jan 04, 2024


The slow grind of the market continued on Thursday with soybeans giving back 4-9 cents but corn found some interest, ending the session slightly higher out to the December 24 contract. March corn spreads were firmer again, today, as well. Trade is still waiting for a story to develop for U.S. corn and soybean demand appears to be satisfied. Wheat rallied today on rumors of more China business. Funds and spec money is content to stay net short until we get something to spark this market higher. News continues to be entirely routine and slow and the market doesn't look like it will do much ahead of next week's report. Weekly ethanol data showed production down 58,000 barrels/day to 1.049 million barrels. Stocks were increased by 100,000 barrels to 23.6 mln bbls.

Corn continues to consolidate sideways/lower towards a potential breakout on report day.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.