1/31/2024

Jan 31, 2024


The market gave back some of Tuesday's gains but held relatively well.  We didn't get the follow-through in Soybeans to push us towards the 20-day moving average but wasn't a complete melt down, either.  Some late session buying was able to improve soybeans to finish 3-5 cents higher after trading out to 12 lower.  Technically, the past two sessions have a really nice set up on the charts if we want to see what the top-side of trading range could be.  Corn recovered nicely after trading 4 cents down to finish close to unchanged.  The weekly ethanol report showed some favorable numbers.  Production increased by 173k barrels/day to 991k bpd which would be a return to normal production after several plants cut production due to weather.  With that increase in productions, ethanol stocks decreased week-to-week by 1.5 million barrels, down to 24.3 mln bbls.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.