1/31/2024

Jan 31, 2024


The market gave back some of Tuesday's gains but held relatively well.  We didn't get the follow-through in Soybeans to push us towards the 20-day moving average but wasn't a complete melt down, either.  Some late session buying was able to improve soybeans to finish 3-5 cents higher after trading out to 12 lower.  Technically, the past two sessions have a really nice set up on the charts if we want to see what the top-side of trading range could be.  Corn recovered nicely after trading 4 cents down to finish close to unchanged.  The weekly ethanol report showed some favorable numbers.  Production increased by 173k barrels/day to 991k bpd which would be a return to normal production after several plants cut production due to weather.  With that increase in productions, ethanol stocks decreased week-to-week by 1.5 million barrels, down to 24.3 mln bbls.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.