1/30/2023

Jan 30, 2023


1/30/2023
Soybeans traded higher from the start and consistently set intraday highs as we progressed through the session. The entire soy complex enjoyed big gains on the day. With bean oil and meal both trading higher, soybeans came along for the ride. Corn and wheat were both reluctant followers. Corn saw mixed trade throughout the session but firmed 1-3 cents higher towards the end of the session. Trade pushed corn towards a fresh high for the move but fell short after meeting some trendline resistance. Weekly export inspections were a slight miss for corn at 528k tonnes. Soybean shipments were at the top end of the estimates at 1.855 mln tonnes. We should see a sharp downturn in soybean shipments soon with that logistic space being turned over to corn. Soybeans have put together an extended shipping season with some late additional sales. Now we are at the point where trade has pushed U.S. grain values well above Brazil's and it would not be a surprise to see some cancellations of U.S. soybean sales in the near future. Corn export sales will likely continue to be routine at these elevated price levels, as well.

A nice recovery in November 23 soybeans. If looking to make a sale, setting a target near the 50-day moving average (closed at 13.83 today).
bean-chart.png

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.