1/30/2023

Jan 30, 2023


1/30/2023
Soybeans traded higher from the start and consistently set intraday highs as we progressed through the session. The entire soy complex enjoyed big gains on the day. With bean oil and meal both trading higher, soybeans came along for the ride. Corn and wheat were both reluctant followers. Corn saw mixed trade throughout the session but firmed 1-3 cents higher towards the end of the session. Trade pushed corn towards a fresh high for the move but fell short after meeting some trendline resistance. Weekly export inspections were a slight miss for corn at 528k tonnes. Soybean shipments were at the top end of the estimates at 1.855 mln tonnes. We should see a sharp downturn in soybean shipments soon with that logistic space being turned over to corn. Soybeans have put together an extended shipping season with some late additional sales. Now we are at the point where trade has pushed U.S. grain values well above Brazil's and it would not be a surprise to see some cancellations of U.S. soybean sales in the near future. Corn export sales will likely continue to be routine at these elevated price levels, as well.

A nice recovery in November 23 soybeans. If looking to make a sale, setting a target near the 50-day moving average (closed at 13.83 today).
bean-chart.png

Read More News

Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.