1/3/2024

Jan 03, 2024


Corn and soybeans lightly spring-boarded back after a set of fresh lows overnight. Soybeans currently have the friendliest set-up on the charts with yesterday's large gap and the moving averages all well above the current trading levels. Corn does have some room in its current trading range to rebound but several points of resistance lie between today's close and what would make for a nice price rally. Soybeans end the day with gains of 1-4 cents and corn finished slightly mixed ranging from fractionally lower to one cent higher. The USDA has not made any 8 a.m. sale announcements for more than two weeks with our most recent sale confirmation coming back on December 19, 2023. Futures spreads over the past two days have been firming/tightening which included some interesting action off the March corn spreads during today's session. There were no rumors of export business today but someone appeared interested in buying the front-end of corn futures.

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May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.