Grain > Commentary > 1-3-2024

1/3/2024

Jan 03, 2024

Corn and soybeans lightly spring-boarded back after a set of fresh lows overnight. Soybeans currently have the friendliest set-up on the charts with yesterday's large gap and the moving averages all well above the current trading levels. Corn does have some room in its current trading range to rebound but several points of resistance lie between today's close and what would make for a nice price rally. Soybeans end the day with gains of 1-4 cents and corn finished slightly mixed ranging from fractionally lower to one cent higher. The USDA has not made any 8 a.m. sale announcements for more than two weeks with our most recent sale confirmation coming back on December 19, 2023. Futures spreads over the past two days have been firming/tightening which included some interesting action off the March corn spreads during today's session. There were no rumors of export business today but someone appeared interested in buying the front-end of corn futures.

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2/10/2026
Feb 10, 2026
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1/12/2026
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
11/14/2025
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.