1/3/2024

Jan 03, 2024


Corn and soybeans lightly spring-boarded back after a set of fresh lows overnight. Soybeans currently have the friendliest set-up on the charts with yesterday's large gap and the moving averages all well above the current trading levels. Corn does have some room in its current trading range to rebound but several points of resistance lie between today's close and what would make for a nice price rally. Soybeans end the day with gains of 1-4 cents and corn finished slightly mixed ranging from fractionally lower to one cent higher. The USDA has not made any 8 a.m. sale announcements for more than two weeks with our most recent sale confirmation coming back on December 19, 2023. Futures spreads over the past two days have been firming/tightening which included some interesting action off the March corn spreads during today's session. There were no rumors of export business today but someone appeared interested in buying the front-end of corn futures.

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Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.