1/29/2021

Jan 29, 2021


1/29/2021
Another round of sales to China were announced this morning and it was a BIG one again!  2,108,000 metric tons of corn and 132,000 metric ton of new crop beans.  That is another 77 million bushels of corn making it a total of over 215 million bushels of corn announced to China for the week!  It also sounds like they may be back for more next week.  As I said before buckle in because anything can happen.  We had a 20-cent range in corn today and a 41-cent range in beans.  That is becoming a daily occurrence as of late.  We made new highs on corn today, but closed 6 cents below them.  The charts still look good.  For the week corn was up 47 and beans were up 59.  Weather in South America continues to be ‘good’ now that they have finally broken the drought cycle for much of the region between Argentina and Brazil.  I don't think I can repeat this enough...It is shaping up to be a very interesting year and a volatile one, so start setting pricing targets and goals.  Don’t allow your emotions to get in the way of those goals as these markets continue to have big swings.  This environment feels like the new norm for the balance of the year.  Have a good weekend!
 

Read More News

Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.