1/29/2021

Jan 29, 2021


1/29/2021
Another round of sales to China were announced this morning and it was a BIG one again!  2,108,000 metric tons of corn and 132,000 metric ton of new crop beans.  That is another 77 million bushels of corn making it a total of over 215 million bushels of corn announced to China for the week!  It also sounds like they may be back for more next week.  As I said before buckle in because anything can happen.  We had a 20-cent range in corn today and a 41-cent range in beans.  That is becoming a daily occurrence as of late.  We made new highs on corn today, but closed 6 cents below them.  The charts still look good.  For the week corn was up 47 and beans were up 59.  Weather in South America continues to be ‘good’ now that they have finally broken the drought cycle for much of the region between Argentina and Brazil.  I don't think I can repeat this enough...It is shaping up to be a very interesting year and a volatile one, so start setting pricing targets and goals.  Don’t allow your emotions to get in the way of those goals as these markets continue to have big swings.  This environment feels like the new norm for the balance of the year.  Have a good weekend!
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.